This is the first survey of the race in the Sunshine State since Romney announced the Wisconsin congressman as his vice presidential choice. Retirees are a sizable bloc of voters in Florida, and Democrats are already criticizing Ryan's Medicare reform proposal in an effort to win those voters. Romney now holds a point lead over Obama among Florida voters 65 and older.
Last month, the GOP challenger held a point lead in this age group. Voters 65 and older also view Ryan more favorably than younger voters do. If pollsters try to even out the numbers artificially, says Doug Schwartz , director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, "they are substituting their own judgment as to what the electorate is going to look like.
It's not scientific. So are the polls unfairly skewed against Romney, or not? If pollsters think Dems can count on another historical high, they should at least "explain why. The fast-growing Latino population, for example, favors Obama over Romney, who drifted to the right on immigration during the GOP primaries. Not only that, says Steve Benen at MSNBC , but the notion that pollsters — "literally, all of them" — would be "deliberately publishing bogus poll results is pretty silly.
You can bet that if Team Romney's internal polls were better, they'd be leaking them. They're not, because polling is a science, and the trend is clear. If you deny it Read more political coverage at The Week 's Election Center.
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Rasmussen has long claimed to be an independent. But he wrote a book on self-governance , popular among conservatives, and was a guest on a cruise sponsored by The National Review.
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